Beyond Calculation: The Next Fifty Years of Computing by Peter J. Denning

By Peter J. Denning

In March 1997, the organization for Computing equipment will rejoice the 50th anniversary of the digital desktop. to appreciate what a unprecedented fifty years the pc has had, you wish basically go searching you--probably no farther than your table. pcs are in every single place: in our vehicles, our houses, our supermarkets, on the cell corporation workplace, and at your neighborhood health facility. yet because the members to this quantity clarify, the medical, social and fiscal influence of desktops is barely starting to be felt. those 16 invited essays at the way forward for computing tackle a stunning number of themes, with evaluations from such specialists as Gordon Bell, Sherry Turkle, Edsger W. Dijkstra, Paul Abraham, Donald Norman, Franz Alt, and David Gelernter. This brilliantly eclectic assortment, commissioned to rejoice a big milestone in an ongoing technological revolution, will fascinate anyone with an curiosity in desktops and the place they're taking us.

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Selecting his personal information page with his finger mouse, he watched as that image filled the display area. He selected the "entertainment" heading and then the "restaurants" heading. Scanning the options, the Red Sage caught his eye. He hadn't been there in a while. The microphone in his earpiece caught the sound of his voice and relayed it to his wrist computer. " "Calling," answered the wrist computer through the earpiece. "Gregg here:' answered the familiar voice of his friend. "Hi Randy, it's Robert calling.

Ysis, and understanding The ability to synthesize realistic video in real time is the next humaninterface barrier. This will allow entire plays and movies to be synthetically generated. It will also allow a face-to-face Turing between a computer synthesized image and a person. It would seem unlikely that a computer posing as a person will be able to interact visually with a person without detection within fifty years. 11 To illustrate the possible evolution of a constant cost, increasingperformance computer, we can look to the time when it will be possible to "render and view" a movie at film resolution (approx.

Both are directed at being information providers. 3. Evolution of wide area network, local area network, and plain old telephone service (POTS) bandwidths in bits per second from 1947 to the present, and a projection to 2047. come to most homes to deliver arbitrarily high bandwidths. One cannot begin to imagine applications that utilize such bandwidths. Once the home is reached, home networks are needed that are virtually identical to commercial IANs, but easier and cheaper to install and maintain.

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